Trump’s AI-Powered World Wars

theintercept.com·The Intercept Briefing
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Noticeable — persuasion techniques worth noting

This article uses strong emotional language and an 'us-vs-them' approach to paint a picture of the US and Israel engaging in a brutal, unjustified war against Iran with high civilian casualties and questionable use of AI. It heavily relies on loaded language and repetition to persuade readers that official statements are untrustworthy and that Iran's actions are understandable responses to aggression. While it supports its claims about US military actions with quotes from journalists and reporters, it strategically omits the US or Israeli justifications for these actions, offering a one-sided view of the conflict.

FATE Analysis

Four dimensions of psychological manipulation: how content captures Focus, exploits Authority, triggers Tribal identity, and engineers Emotion.

Focus6/10Authority5/10Tribe7/10Emotion7/10
FFocus
0/10
AAuthority
0/10
TTribe
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EEmotion
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Focus signals

unprecedented framing
"This particular campaign Operation Epic Fury is set apart by the relentlessness of the attacks"

Presents the current conflict as uniquely intense and 'epic fury' to suggest a novel and alarming level of warfare.

novelty spike
"it is also the first example of countries attacking data centers as an act of war, which Sam, you have some reporting coming out on in the future, so everyone look out for that."

Highlights a new type of warfare to grab attention and implies an evolving, and potentially more dangerous, global conflict landscape.

unprecedented framing
"Sen. Elizabeth Warren said Trump has conducted more strikes in more countries than any modern president. I’m not sure that’s actually true. It really depends on what you call a strike, what you’re counting."

Even while questioning its veracity, the article uses a claim of 'more strikes in more countries than any modern president' to frame the current situation as unprecedented in scale and therefore demands attention.

unprecedented framing
"This is the business of killing people. Mistakes are not just mistakes. I think that is now just the way wars are going to be fought, and that is a very troubling new reality."

Framing the current use of AI in warfare as 'a very troubling new reality' underscores the novelty and gravity of the situation, designed to capture and hold reader attention due to its perceived existential implications.

Authority signals

expert appeal
"Hooman Majd, an Iranian American writer and journalist, tells The Intercept Briefing."

Leverages the professional standing and ethnic background of Majd to lend credibility to his statements about Iran and the conflict.

expert appeal
"Nick Turse, senior reporter for The Intercept."

Uses Turse's title and affiliation with 'The Intercept' to establish him as an authoritative voice on military matters.

expert appeal
"Akela Lacy, senior politics reporter at The Intercept."

Lacy's title and role at The Intercept are used to establish her credibility as a host and interviewer in political and conflict discussions.

expert appeal
"Sam Biddle, senior technology reporter at The Intercept."

Biddle's title and affiliation are used to establish his expertise on the technological aspects of warfare, specifically AI.

institutional authority
"Last month, the Wall Street Journal reported that Claude, an AI tool from the company Anthropic, was used to capture now former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro..."

Cites the 'Wall Street Journal' as a source to add weight and factual basis to the claims about AI usage in geopolitical events.

expert appeal
"But my sources — current government official, two former Pentagon officials who were experts in civilian harm, who worked on these issues for the Pentagon for years — said that the satellite imagery showed that these weren’t errant strikes, but they were precision attacks."

The speaker explicitly references 'sources' with high-level government and Pentagon experience, framing their insights as authoritative and directly refuting official statements.

Tribe signals

us vs them
"Killing civilians is a hallmark of American air war."

Creates a distinct 'us vs. them' dynamic by attributing a negative, systematic behavior ('hallmark') to the American military, fostering a sense of grievance and division.

us vs them
"This is a Pentagon that believes in killing people. I think, at times, it seems to sort of give itself things to tweet about. This is a political movement and an ideology guiding the Pentagon that I think relishes violence."

Paints a picture of the Pentagon as an entity ('them') driven by an ideology that 'relishes violence' and 'believes in killing people,' sharply contrasting with presumably ethical or reasonable perspectives ('us'). This is a direct attack on the motives of powerful actors to challenge power, so we score this highly to address Power-Direction Rule.

us vs them
"It’s insane for someone like the prime minister of another country to say, “We’re bombing the hell out of you, now please rise up and go take over your government.” It defies logic."

Frames the actions of foreign leaders (Netanyahu) as 'insane' and illogical, creating an 'us' (those who see the logic) vs. 'them' (those in power making illogical demands) dynamic.

us vs them
"It just adds to the litany of complaints or accusations that Iran throws at the United States for how the United States is the aggressor against Iran and not the other way around."

Solidifies the 'us vs. them' narrative by presenting Iran's perspective that the U.S. is consistently the 'aggressor,' reinforcing a binary view of the conflict.

us vs them
"This is a wildly unpopular war, and I think the longer it goes on, the more we’ll see whatever bare minimum of public support exists continue to drop."

Implies a broad consensus ('wildly unpopular war') against the conflict, separating those who support it (a 'bare minimum') from the general public, and suggesting that 'public support' will force a change in policy. This suggests social outcasting for supporting the war.

us vs them
"And I think they’re, all the Persian Gulf countries, in all the other countries are very worried that this is not regime change. And the regime will be in power, and the regime can threaten them again. Everyone will, in my mind, will want an end to this war that includes a strong sense that this won’t happen every six months."

Suggests a shared concern and desire among 'all the Persian Gulf countries' and 'all the other countries' for an end to the war and stability, creating a collective 'us' against the continuation of the conflict and its instigators.

Emotion signals

outrage manufacturing
"Killing civilians is a hallmark of American air war."

This statement is designed to provoke outrage by associating the American military with a consistent pattern of civilian casualties, framing it as an inherent characteristic rather than an unfortunate consequence. This is a very strong and inflammatory statement.

fear engineering
"Airstrikes, air war generally is already so prone to killing innocent people even when you take your time. But whenever you try to hurry for the sake of hurrying — and AI is great at enabling that — you just increase over and over again the chance of killing someone that you didn’t intend to or didn’t care enough to avoid killing."

Engineers fear by emphasizing the increased likelihood of 'killing innocent people' due to accelerated AI warfare, suggesting a future where such deaths are more frequent and less 'cared' about.

outrage manufacturing
"This is a Pentagon that believes in killing people. I think, at times, it seems to sort of give itself things to tweet about. This is a political movement and an ideology guiding the Pentagon that I think relishes violence. These AI systems, when you want to blow things up and kill people, these tools can provide a very rapid, turnkey means of having a list of people and places to destroy."

Manufactures outrage by portraying the Pentagon as having an 'ideology that relishes violence' and 'believes in killing people,' suggesting an almost sadistic motivation behind military actions and presenting it as a political movement of powerful actors, triggering a strong emotional response.

outrage manufacturing
"If you blow up a school because Claude told you that it was actually an IED factory or whatever, you could say, 'Oh, well, the super-smart computer told me to.'"

Uses a hypothetical, yet emotionally charged example of 'blow[ing] up a school' and then attempting to shift blame to AI, to trigger outrage and moral indignation at the potential consequences of relying on such technology in warfare.

outrage manufacturing
"One of the first acts of aggression in this war was this strikes on this elementary school for girls in the southern Iranian town of Minab, which killed 175 people, mostly children, according to Iranian health offices."

The detailed mention of an attack on an 'elementary school for girls' that killed '175 people, mostly children' is highly emotionally charged and designed to provoke immediate outrage and horror. This is amplified by the quote from Nick Turse that the US or Israel was behind it.

outrage manufacturing
"Netanyahu and Donald Trump killed his dad, killed his mom, killed his wife, killed his sister, killed his niece in one strike."

Attributing the direct killing of multiple family members to specific leaders is a highly emotional and inflammatory statement designed to provoke extreme outrage and condemnation against those individuals, painting them as directly responsible for profound civilian suffering. The proportionality rule is taken into account; while the events are horrific, blaming specific leaders for the deaths of 'his dad, killed his mom, killed his wife, killed his sister, killed his niece in one strike' is an emotional appeal disproportionate to the typical way a military action affecting a family would be phrased in a journalistic setting.

Narrative Analysis (PCP)

How the article reshapes thinking: Perception (what beliefs are targeted), Context (what information is shifted or omitted), and Permission (what behavior is being encouraged).

What it wants you to believe

The article aims to instill the belief that the US and Israel are engaged in an unjustified, brutal, and destructive war against Iran, characterized by high civilian casualties, the use of advanced, unproven AI, and a lack of clear objectives. It also seeks to establish that the US government, particularly the Trump administration and figures like Pete Hegseth, is driven by a 'relish for violence' and that statements from officials are often manipulative or untruthful. Furthermore, it suggests that Iran's retaliatory actions, while possibly illegal, are a understandable response to aggression, and that the US's broader military engagements are reckless and extensive.

Context being shifted

The article shifts the context of military operations from discrete, targeted actions to an 'all-out war' with widespread, indiscriminate destruction, making the idea of high civilian casualties and ethical compromises feel inevitable or even intentional. By presenting the conflict as a US-Israel 'war on Iran,' it frames the entire situation as an offensive, rather than a response to perceived threats. The repeated emphasis on the 'relentlessness' and scale of attacks against a civilian-dense environment makes the resulting civilian deaths appear a natural, if not expected, outcome of this type of operation.

What it omits

The article largely omits detailed US or Israeli justifications for the initial strikes and the stated objectives for the military campaign beyond vague accusations of Iran being 'about to attack' or 'weakest'. While it touches on the Trump administration's shifting rationale, it doesn't present the specific intelligence or perceived threats that led to the decision-making for 'Operation Epic Fury' or other US actions. The broader geopolitical context, including historical grievances, proxy conflicts, or specific Iranian actions that the US or Israel might cite as provocation, is either briefly dismissed or not elaborated upon, which strengthens the narrative of unprovoked aggression.

Desired behavior

The article nudges the reader toward a stance of critical opposition to US and Israeli military actions, particularly against Iran and other mentioned nations. It encourages skepticism towards official government statements and military narratives. It aims to foster a sense of outrage or disapproval regarding civilian casualties and the use of AI in warfare, and potentially to create a desire for an end to these conflicts, driven by economic and human costs. It also seemingly grants permission to view Iran's retaliatory actions as a justified, albeit possibly illegal, response to perceived aggression.

SMRP Pattern

Four manipulation maintenance tactics: Socializing the idea as normal, Minimizing concerns, Rationalizing with logic, and Projecting blame.

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Socializing

"Killing civilians is a hallmark of American air war."

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Minimizing
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Rationalizing

"Iran is not making this stuff up. They’re busy trying to protect themselves, trying to fire as many missiles as possible to try to bring an end to this war in a way by causing pain for not just America, but for American allies. A lot of people complain and say Iran is breaking international law by attacking countries that have nothing to do with this war. That’s probably true. It is probably against international law what Iran is doing, but so is the war that the United States and Israel started on Iran. That’s also against international law."

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Projecting

"If you blow up a school because Claude told you that it was actually an IED factory or whatever, you could say, 'Oh, well, the super-smart computer told me to.'... It was the robot. It wasn’t me."

Red Flags

High-severity indicators: silencing dissent, coordinated messaging, or weaponizing identity to shut down debate.

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Silencing indicator
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Controlled release (spokesperson test)

"He said there was an ongoing investigation, and he issued a classic non-denial, denial taking Iran to task for targeting civilians. But the fact that he wouldn’t back up his boss who was standing right next to him, I thought was very telling. Then I spoke to U.S. Central Command, which oversees U.S. military operations in the Middle East, oversees this war in Iran. They told me that to comment on any of this was getting ahead of an ongoing military investigation — which is precisely what President Trump did. They said it was just inappropriate to do. You don’t often have a military spokesperson say that what the commander-in-chief has just done was inappropriate, but they did so in this case."

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Identity weaponization

Techniques Found(11)

Specific propaganda techniques identified using the SemEval-2023 academic taxonomy of 23 techniques across 6 categories.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"In the last few days, President Donald Trump has said that the U.S-Israel war on Iran will end soon, after oil prices jumped and the growing regional conflict continued to shake markets."

Describing the current conflict as 'U.S-Israel war on Iran' is loaded language, as it presupposes a specific (and highly contentious) framing of the conflict, implying aggression and unified intent from both the US and Israel towards Iran, which may not be universally accepted or factually established as an 'act of war' in that manner.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"“Killing civilians is a hallmark of American air war. This particular campaign Operation Epic Fury is set apart by the relentlessness of the attacks,” adds Nick Turse, senior reporter for The Intercept."

Calling the killing of civilians a 'hallmark of American air war' uses emotionally charged and provocative language to characterize US military actions, creating a strong negative association.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Airstrikes, air war generally is already so prone to killing innocent people even when you take your time. But whenever you try to hurry for the sake of hurrying — and AI is great at enabling that — you just increase over and over again the chance of killing someone that you didn’t intend to or didn’t care enough to avoid killing,” says Biddle."

The phrase 'killing innocent people' and 'didn’t care enough to avoid killing' employs emotionally charged language to evoke strong negative feelings regarding the military actions and the use of AI.

RepetitionManipulative Wording
"This is a Pentagon that believes in killing people. I think, at times, it seems to sort of give itself things to tweet about. This is a political movement and an ideology guiding the Pentagon that I think relishes violence. These AI systems, when you want to blow things up and kill people, these tools can provide a very rapid, turnkey means of having a list of people and places to destroy."

The repeated phrases 'killing people' and 'blow things up and kill people' emphasize a specific, negative portrayal of the Pentagon's motivations and actions, increasing its emotional impact.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"This is a Pentagon that believes in killing people. I think, at times, it seems to sort of give itself things to tweet about. This is a political movement and an ideology guiding the Pentagon that I think relishes violence. These AI systems, when you want to blow things up and kill people, these tools can provide a very rapid, turnkey means of having a list of people and places to destroy."

The assertion that the Pentagon 'relishes violence' is highly charged and inflammatory, attributing malevolent intent to a government institution without presenting direct evidence of such 'relishing,' aiming to provoke strong negative emotional responses.

Obfuscation/VaguenessManipulative Wording
"How exactly these simulations are playing out of what value they are, how accurate they are in terms of what might actually happen subsequently in real life is unknown."

The speaker points out the vagueness and lack of clarity around the AI simulations, highlighting how this unclear information serves to obscure the true impact or reliability of these advanced tools in warfare.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"This is the business of killing people. Mistakes are not just mistakes. I think that is now just the way wars are going to be fought, and that is a very troubling new reality.”"

Describing war as 'the business of killing people' uses emotionally impactful language to strip away any sanitization of conflict, aiming to provoke a visceral, negative reaction to the nature of modern warfare.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"But my sources — current government official, two former Pentagon officials who were experts in civilian harm, who worked on these issues for the Pentagon for years — said that the satellite imagery showed that these weren’t errant strikes, but they were precision attacks. The angle of the weapon, the precise nature of the strike, the fact that the munitions came straight down from above, the fact that all the strikes in the general area looked the same, including those that hit buildings on the nearby Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps base — all this made it crystal clear that this was a U.S. or an Israeli attack."

The phrase 'precision attacks' is used here to describe strikes on a school that killed 175 people, implying deliberate targeting or accuracy when the outcome was mass casualties, thus downplaying or whitewashing the severity of the civilian deaths by using a term that usually implies sophisticated, careful targeting.

Exaggeration/MinimisationManipulative Wording
"The moniker “Operation Epic Fury” is ridiculous and bellicose. But there’s some perverse truth to this name because in the first 100 hours of this war the U.S. and Israel said that they struck more targets in Iran than in the first six months of the U.S. led coalition’s bombing campaign of the so-called Islamic State in Syria and Iraq, which was a formidable campaign."

The quote dismisses the military operation's name 'Operation Epic Fury' as 'ridiculous and bellicose' while then immediately highlighting the extreme scale of targets hit within a short period, effectively minimizing any potentially positive or strategic connotations of the name by framing it as absurd. While not overtly minimizing civilian casualties, it implicitly dismisses the operational name in a way that suggests a disproportionality between the name and its devastating reality.

Causal OversimplificationSimplification
"Regimes don’t change because of sanctions. All it does is immiserate the people."

This statement oversimplifies the complex effects of sanctions, reducing their multifaceted impacts (which can include regime pressure, changes in policy, or even collapse) to a single, negative outcome: 'immiserate the people.' While sanctions do harm civilians, it's an oversimplification to state that they *only* do this and never contribute to regime change or policy shifts.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Trump, we now know, could have taken that and said, I did better than Obama, but chose not to."

Referring to an unverified alternative Iranian nuclear deal as 'better — far better — than the deal that President Obama was able to make' uses loaded language. This phrasing presents a speculative and unconfirmed 'better' deal as a missed opportunity, implying that Trump deliberately eschewed a superior agreement, framing his decision negatively without concrete, verified details of the supposed 'better' deal.

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