Trump wants Iranian leadership that will not 'threaten Americans': Waltz

abcnews.com·ABC News
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Heavy — strong psychological manipulation throughout

This article uses quotes from a U.S. ambassador to make the case that American military actions against Iran are justified and successful, while downplaying any U.S. responsibility for negative outcomes like civilian casualties. It focuses heavily on portraying Iran as a threat and the U.S. as a moral victor, without providing much context or fully addressing allegations of U.S. wrongdoing.

FATE Analysis

Four dimensions of psychological manipulation: how content captures Focus, exploits Authority, triggers Tribal identity, and engineers Emotion.

Focus3/10Authority5/10Tribe4/10Emotion5/10
FFocus
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AAuthority
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TTribe
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EEmotion
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Focus signals

attention capture
"Mike Waltz, the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, told ABC News on Sunday that President Donald Trump wants Iranian leaders who will not threaten "the United States or allies in the region” when asked about the president's recent comments on choosing the country's next head of state."

This opening statement immediately frames the president's direct involvement in choosing a foreign leader's successor, which is an unusual and attention-grabbing claim for standard diplomacy, even if reported as a statement rather than an action.

unprecedented framing
""So in terms of our military objectives, the president is right. We are not only ahead of schedule, we are winning," Waltz said."

The claim of being 'ahead of schedule' and 'winning' in a military conflict, especially one that isn't fully defined as a 'war' by all parties, is framed as a significant and positive development, drawing attention with an optimistic and decisive tone.

Authority signals

institutional authority
"Mike Waltz, the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations"

The initial identification of Waltz by his high-level governmental position lends immediate weight and credibility to his statements, leveraging the authority of the U.S. government and the UN ambassadorship.

expert appeal
"Waltz told “This Week” co-anchor Martha Raddatz."

Reporting an interview with a prominent media figure on a well-known news program adds a layer of established journalistic authority and implied importance to the content.

expert appeal
"I could tell you, as a veteran, in no uncertain terms, the United States does everything it can to avoid civilian casualties."

Waltz leverages his personal experience as a veteran to assert expertise and credibility on the ethical conduct of the U.S. military, attempting to bolster the claim that the U.S. avoids civilian harm.

institutional authority
"Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has said the U.S. is still investigating the incident but President Trump said Saturday that he believes Iran was at fault."

The article uses the statements of two high-ranking officials – the Defense Secretary and the President – to present information, relying on their institutional authority to frame the narrative around the school bombing incident.

Tribe signals

us vs them
"he wants to see leadership in Iran that no longer threatens the United States or allies in the region; that isn't attacking civilian airports, ports, shipping, terminals, hotels, and lashing out in the way that it is"

This quote clearly establishes an 'us' (the United States and its allies, and presumably the reader) and a 'them' (the current Iranian leadership that threatens and attacks), framing the situation in an adversarial, tribal manner.

us vs them
"So it has to be someone that we can deal with. It has to be someone that doesn't threaten Americans, attack Americans, and try to attack us and our allies at any given chance."

This reinforces the 'us vs. them' dynamic, strongly differentiating between acceptable leaders (those 'we can deal with') and the current, unacceptable Iranian leadership defined by their threats and attacks against 'Americans' and 'our allies'.

us vs them
"Waltz appeared to be referring to a hospital explosion in Gaza in October 2023 that killed hundreds during the early days of the Israel-Hamas war, which the U.S. later said was caused by a failed Palestinian rocket launch. He added later, "I could tell you, as a veteran, in no uncertain terms, the United States does everything it can to avoid civilian casualties. Sometimes, of course, tragic mistakes occur -- unlike what we see from the likes of Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the Iranian regime.""

This passage creates a stark 'us vs. them' when discussing civilian casualties. 'The United States' is portrayed as doing 'everything it can to avoid' them, while various opposing groups ('Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the Iranian regime') are implicitly or explicitly accused of not having such scruples, drawing a clear moral tribal line.

Emotion signals

fear engineering
"he wants to see leadership in Iran that no longer threatens the United States or allies in the region; that isn't attacking civilian airports, ports, shipping, terminals, hotels, and lashing out in the way that it is"

This evokes a sense of threat and instability, playing on potential fears for safety and security by listing various targets and actions attributed to current Iranian leadership, implying danger to the readership's interests.

fear engineering
"Waltz added that Iran's next leader should not "hold energy supplies hostage" for the rest of the world or try to build a nuclear weapon."

These claims tap into significant fears: energy scarcity/economic disruption ('hold energy supplies hostage') and existential threats ('build a nuclear weapon'), aiming to generate anxiety about Iran's potential future actions.

outrage manufacturing
"I just can't put my mind around how many Americans have been attacked and killed [by Iran] from Beirut to the Iraq War and to the hostages [in 1979 Iran hostage crisis]."

By listing historical grievances and casualties attributed to Iran, Waltz attempts to ignite outrage and a sense of injustice among American readers, connecting current policy to past suffering.

moral superiority
"I could tell you, as a veteran, in no uncertain terms, the United States does everything it can to avoid civilian casualties. Sometimes, of course, tragic mistakes occur -- unlike what we see from the likes of Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the Iranian regime."

This statement aims to cultivate a sense of moral superiority for the U.S. military's conduct compared to its adversaries, positioning the U.S. as ethically responsible even in 'tragic mistakes,' differentiating it sharply from what is portrayed as the intentional harm caused by the named groups.

Narrative Analysis (PCP)

How the article reshapes thinking: Perception (what beliefs are targeted), Context (what information is shifted or omitted), and Permission (what behavior is being encouraged).

What it wants you to believe

The article aims to instill the belief that the U.S. military actions against Iran are justified, successful, and necessary for global stability and American security. It also seeks to cultivate the belief that Iran is a primary aggressor and a significant threat, and that any negative outcomes (like civilian casualties) are either Iran's fault or unavoidable 'tragic mistakes' made by a morally superior U.S. military.

Context being shifted

The article shifts the context from a military conflict to a narrative of self-defense and achieving 'military objectives' against an inherently threatening Iran. It frames the U.S. desire for regime change as a 'common sense approach' focused on stability and safety. The historical context of U.S.-Iran relations, prior interventions, or the complex geopolitical factors contributing to the current conflict are minimized in favor of a clear aggressor-victim dynamic.

What it omits

The article omits the specific historical and political context that might explain Iran's actions or motivations, or the role of other regional actors in perpetuating conflict. It also omits the nuanced details of how the 'war initiated' beyond a general reference to 'how many Americans have been attacked and killed [by Iran] from Beirut to the Iraq War and to the hostages [in 1979 Iran hostage crisis]', which oversimplifies a complex history. Crucially, the initial findings suggesting U.S. forces were possibly responsible for the elementary school bombing are presented, but Waltz's immediate deflection and comparison to Hamas's alleged blame-shifting in Gaza serve to quickly obscure direct U.S. accountability without fully disproving the initial findings.

Desired behavior

The reader is nudged to support current U.S. military actions in Iran, accept the narrative of U.S. success and moral superiority, and dismiss or downplay allegations of U.S. wrongdoing, particularly concerning civilian casualties. It grants permission to view any opposition to this U.S. stance as uninformed or aligned with 'terrorist' entities.

SMRP Pattern

Four manipulation maintenance tactics: Socializing the idea as normal, Minimizing concerns, Rationalizing with logic, and Projecting blame.

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Socializing
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Minimizing

"Waltz added later, 'I could tell you, as a veteran, in no uncertain terms, the United States does everything it can to avoid civilian casualties. Sometimes, of course, tragic mistakes occur -- unlike what we see from the likes of Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the Iranian regime.'"

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Rationalizing

"Well, as President Trump just said last night, he wants to see leadership in Iran – and this is just kind of a common sense approach here -- he wants to see leadership in Iran that no longer threatens the United States or allies in the region; that isn't attacking civilian airports, ports, shipping, terminals, hotels, and lashing out in the way that it is,"

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Projecting

"We've seen instances like we saw in Gaza, for example, where Hamas immediately blamed the Israelis."

Red Flags

High-severity indicators: silencing dissent, coordinated messaging, or weaponizing identity to shut down debate.

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Silencing indicator
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Controlled release (spokesperson test)

"Waltz's repeated use of phrases like 'common sense approach,' asserting the U.S. is 'winning' and 'ahead of schedule,' and his rapid deflection on the school bombing by shifting blame to Iran and comparing it to Hamas, suggest adherence to a pre-determined narrative rather than spontaneous discourse. His direct mention of 'American-First foreign policy' also sounds like a talking point."

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Identity weaponization

Techniques Found(13)

Specific propaganda techniques identified using the SemEval-2023 academic taxonomy of 23 techniques across 6 categories.

Appeal to AuthorityJustification
"Well, as President Trump just said last night, he wants to see leadership in Iran – and this is just kind of a common sense approach here -- he wants to see leadership in Iran that no longer threatens the United States or allies in the region"

Waltz cites President Trump's statement as justification for the desired leadership in Iran, implying that because the President said it, it is a 'common sense approach' and should be accepted.

Appeal to ValuesJustification
"So it has to be someone that we can deal with. It has to be someone that doesn't threaten Americans, attack Americans, and try to attack us and our allies at any given chance"

This statement appeals to the value of national security and protection of citizens and allies, framing the need for a particular type of Iranian leader as essential for safeguarding these values.

Flag WavingJustification
"So in terms of our military objectives, the president is right. We are not only ahead of schedule, we are winning"

This quote uses language that invokes national pride and a sense of victory, aligning military success with the national identity and asserting a dominant position.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"that isn't attacking civilian airports, ports, shipping, terminals, hotels, and lashing out in the way that it is"

The phrase 'lashing out' is emotionally charged and creates a negative image of Iran's actions, implying irrational and aggressive behavior.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"major degradation"

This phrase, used to describe the impact on Iran's ballistic missile capability, carries a strong negative connotation, emphasizing the severe and debilitating nature of the damage inflicted.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"decapitated"

Used to describe the fate of 'major leadership figures,' this word is highly evocative and violent, designed to create a strong emotional response and emphasize the severity of the loss.

Appeal to ValuesJustification
"in an American-First foreign policy"

This phrase directly invokes a core political slogan that appeals to nationalistic values and priorities, suggesting that the policy is inherently good because it prioritizes American interests.

Red HerringDistraction
"And I know a lot of folks are focused on how this war initiated, but I can tell you, as a veteran, I just can't put my mind around how many Americans have been attacked and killed [by Iran] from Beirut to the Iraq War and to the hostages [in 1979 Iran hostage crisis]"

When pressed about the duration of the military operation, Waltz diverts attention from the present question by bringing up past grievances and historical events of American suffering caused by Iran, which, while potentially relevant to the broader conflict, does not directly address the timeline of the current military operation.

Appeal to AuthorityJustification
"I'll leave that to the investigators to determine"

Waltz defers to the authority of 'investigators' when asked about President Trump's claim regarding the school bombing, implying that their determination is the definitive truth and avoiding direct engagement with the question.

Guilt by AssociationAttack on Reputation
"We've seen instances like we saw in Gaza, for example, where Hamas immediately blamed the Israelis."

Waltz indirectly associates Iran's potential blame for the school bombing with Hamas's behavior in a previous conflict. By linking Iran to Hamas, he tries to discredit Iran's potential claims by associating them with a group already seen negatively, without direct evidence against Iran in this specific instance.

Obfuscation/VaguenessManipulative Wording
"Sometimes, of course, tragic mistakes occur"

This phrase is vague and euphemistic, downplaying the seriousness of civilian casualties as 'tragic mistakes' without taking specific responsibility or providing clear details about how or why they occur.

Name Calling/LabelingAttack on Reputation
"unlike what we see from the likes of Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the Iranian regime."

Waltz uses negative labels and associations ('Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the Iranian regime') to broadly discredit these groups, contrasting their actions with the U.S. in a way that presumes their inherent malevolence.

Appeal to AuthorityJustification
"I could tell you, as a veteran, in no uncertain terms, the United States does everything it can to avoid civilian casualties."

Waltz invokes his identity as a 'veteran' to assert the truth of the statement about U.S. efforts to avoid civilian casualties, lending personal credibility and authority to his claim rather than providing direct evidence.

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