US and Iran dig in and ramp up threats as war rages with no end in sight

apnews.com·By  JON GAMBRELL, JAMEY KEATEN and SAMY MAGDY
View original article
0out of 100
Elevated — multiple influence tactics active

This article uses strong, emotional language and focuses on current urgent events to present Iran as the primary aggressor in the Middle East. It strategically leaves out crucial historical context, like previous U.S./Israeli actions or the specific initial "surprise bombardment" of Iran, which makes Iran's responses appear unprovoked. The aim is to make you feel that continued military action against Iran by the U.S. and its allies is necessary and justified, especially to protect oil interests.

FATE Analysis

Four dimensions of psychological manipulation: how content captures Focus, exploits Authority, triggers Tribal identity, and engineers Emotion.

Focus6/10Authority4/10Tribe5/10Emotion7/10
FFocus
0/10
AAuthority
0/10
TTribe
0/10
EEmotion
0/10

Focus signals

unprecedented framing
"Iran’s attacks on oil infrastructure and pledges to choke off a vital waterway left markets on edge Tuesday as the United States promised blistering new strikes. The war entered its 11th day with no end in sight as its effects rippled across the Middle East and beyond."

This opening sentence immediately frames the situation as a major, ongoing crisis with broad and severe implications ('no end in sight,' 'rippled across the Middle East and beyond'), aiming to capture attention through the perceived magnitude of events.

attention capture
"Both sides sharpened their rhetoric as they dug in, with U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth again promising the most intense strikes yet, while Iran’s leaders ruled out talks and threatened U.S. President Donald Trump."

The 'most intense strikes yet' and direct threats against the US President act as novelty spikes and calls to attention, indicating an escalating and critical situation.

attention capture
"Brent crude, the international standard, spiked to nearly $120 on Monday before falling back but was still at around $90 a barrel on Tuesday, nearly 24% higher than when the war started."

Highlighting a significant spike in oil prices directly impacts global economic concerns, creating a focus on immediate and tangible consequences that demand attention.

unprecedented framing
"Iran has effectively stopped tankers from using the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world’s oil is carried."

This statement describes a critical event with global economic ramifications, emphasizing its novelty and the potential for severe, widespread disruption, thereby capturing sustained focus.

Authority signals

institutional authority
"U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth again promising the most intense strikes yet..."

Leverages the authority of a high-ranking government official to lend weight and credibility to the statements about military action, making them seem definitive and serious.

expert appeal
"Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said U.S. forces hit more than 5,000 targets."

Uses the authority of a top military general to provide factual information and bolster the credibility of the reported military actions and their scale.

institutional authority
"The Pentagon separately said Tuesday that about 140 U.S. service members have been wounded in the war..."

Attributing information to 'The Pentagon' uses the institutional authority of a major governmental body to validate the casualty figures, adding weight to the reported human cost.

expert appeal
"Amin Nasser, the president and CEO of Saudi Arabia’s oil giant Aramco, said tankers were being rerouted to avoid the strait..."

Cites the CEO of a major oil company to provide an authoritative assessment of the impact on global oil shipping and the potential economic consequences, reinforcing the severity of the situation.

Tribe signals

us vs them
"Iran’s attacks on oil infrastructure and pledges to choke off a vital waterway left markets on edge Tuesday as the United States promised blistering new strikes."

Establishes a clear 'us vs. them' dynamic: 'Iran' as the aggressor causing global disruption, and 'the United States' responding with force. This immediately frames the conflict in adversarial terms.

us vs them
"Both sides sharpened their rhetoric as they dug in, with U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth again promising the most intense strikes yet, while Iran’s leaders ruled out talks and threatened U.S. President Donald Trump."

Reinforces the 'us vs. them' narrative by explicitly stating 'both sides' and then detailing confrontational actions and rhetoric from each: U.S. promises strikes, Iranian leaders threaten the U.S. President.

us vs them
"Iran launched new attacks against Israel and Gulf Arab countries, while Israel carried out airstrikes on Iran and Lebanon, where it is battling Hezbollah militants."

This sentence solidifies the tribal lines by identifying specific state and non-state actors ('Iran,' 'Israel,' 'Hezbollah,' 'Gulf Arab countries') in opposition, highlighting a complex web of 'us vs. them' alliances and hostilities within the region.

identity weaponization
"Iran’s parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, said on X that Iran was “definitely not looking for a ceasefire.” “We believe that the aggressor should be punched in the mouth so that he learns a lesson so that he will never think of attacking our beloved Iran again,” he said."

This quote from an Iranian official uses nationalistic rhetoric ('our beloved Iran') and an aggressive stance ('punched in the mouth') to rally internal support and identify an external 'aggressor,' weaponizing national identity as a marker for a defiant tribe.

Emotion signals

fear engineering
"Iran’s attacks on oil infrastructure and pledges to choke off a vital waterway left markets on edge Tuesday as the United States promised blistering new strikes. The war entered its 11th day with no end in sight as its effects rippled across the Middle East and beyond."

The phrase 'left markets on edge,' 'blistering new strikes,' and 'no end in sight' coupled with 'rippled across the Middle East and beyond' evokes a sense of widespread, uncontrollable danger and uncertainty, cultivating fear about economic stability and regional escalation.

fear engineering
"Residents of Tehran said they had experienced some of the war’s heaviest strikes, with electricity cut to neighborhoods. A woman said she saw a residential building get hit. She and others reached by The Associated Press spoke on condition of anonymity to prevent reprisals."

The mention of 'heaviest strikes,' 'electricity cut,' a 'residential building get hit,' and sources fearing 'reprisals' creates a strong sense of fear and vulnerability, highlighting the immediate and personal danger faced by civilians in a non-proportionate way relative to the level of detail provided about casualties.

outrage manufacturing
"Iranian attacks on the wealthy Gulf country — home to the business and travel hub of Dubai — have killed six people and wounded 122 others since the surprise bombardment of Iran by the U.S. and Israel began on Feb. 28."

While reporting casualties is factual, framing 'Iranian attacks' against 'wealthy Gulf country' and 'Dubai' may subtly aim to elicit outrage by contrasting acts of violence against symbols of prosperity and stability, and by using the inflammatory (and in this context, unsubstantiated) term 'surprise bombardment' to describe prior actions from the US/Israel. The relative brevity and lack of specific context around the initial 'surprise bombardment' versus the detailed effects of Iranian counter-attacks suggests a disparity in emotional framing.

fear engineering
"If this takes a long time, that will have serious impact on the global economy.”"

This quote directly appeals to economic fear, warning of 'serious impact on the global economy' due to disruptions in oil supply. It's a broad and significant threat designed to evoke a strong emotional response about widespread financial instability.

outrage manufacturing
"In Iran, at least 1,230 people have been killed, while the death toll is at least 397 in Lebanon and 12 in Israel, according to officials."

While presenting death tolls is factual, the article dedicates significantly more emotional framing (e.g., civilian fear, residential buildings hit, economic disruption) to the non-Iranian side of the conflict. The death tolls for Iran and Lebanon are stated plainly at the end of a paragraph, almost as an afterthought to the U.S. casualties, reducing their emotional impact compared to the detailed descriptions of specific attacks on Gulf countries and the fear of reprisals. This disproportionate emphasis on suffering depending on geography risks manufacturing outrage specifically against one side of the conflict.

Narrative Analysis (PCP)

How the article reshapes thinking: Perception (what beliefs are targeted), Context (what information is shifted or omitted), and Permission (what behavior is being encouraged).

What it wants you to believe

The article aims for the reader to believe that Iran is the primary aggressor and destabilizing force in the Middle East, initiating attacks and threatening critical global infrastructure. It also seeks to instill the belief that the U.S. and its allies are responding proportionally, if not defensively, to Iranian aggression, and that their actions are justified for regional and global stability.

Context being shifted

The article presents a narrative focusing heavily on Iranian attacks and threats, making the subsequent U.S. and Israeli actions appear as reactive measures. This framing shifts the context to one of defense against an instigating power, rather than potentially an escalation or prolonged conflict dynamics. The comparison of casualty figures also frames the U.S. and Israeli experience as less severe while highlighting the wider impact of Iranian actions.

What it omits

The article omits significant historical context regarding U.S. and Israeli foreign policy in the region, including past interventions, sanctions against Iran, or the broader geopolitical tensions that may precede or contribute to the current conflict. It states 'the surprise bombardment of Iran by the U.S. and Israel began on Feb. 28' without providing any background or justification for this initial 'surprise bombardment,' thereby presenting Iran's subsequent actions as unprovoked aggression. It also omits the number and nature of casualties and damage caused by the initial 'surprise bombardment' beyond the generalized 'at least 1,230 people have been killed' in Iran, which is presented later and without direct attribution to specific bombardments.

Desired behavior

The reader is nudged towards accepting continued U.S. and allied military actions against Iran as necessary and justifiable. It encourages a stance of supporting the 'tough on Iran' rhetoric and validating measures taken to secure global oil interests, even if it involves military engagement.

SMRP Pattern

Four manipulation maintenance tactics: Socializing the idea as normal, Minimizing concerns, Rationalizing with logic, and Projecting blame.

-
Socializing
!
Minimizing

"The Pentagon separately said Tuesday that about 140 U.S. service members have been wounded in the war, and the “vast majority” of the injuries were minor, with 108 service members already back on duty. Eight U.S. service members suffered severe injuries, and seven have been killed."

-
Rationalizing
-
Projecting

Red Flags

High-severity indicators: silencing dissent, coordinated messaging, or weaponizing identity to shut down debate.

-
Silencing indicator
!
Controlled release (spokesperson test)

"U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth again promising the most intense strikes yet... Hegseth warned that Tuesday “will be yet again our most intense day of strikes inside Iran: The most fighters, the most bombers, the most strikes, intelligence more refined and better than ever.” He said the last 24 hours had seen the fewest Iranian missiles fired in the war. Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said U.S. forces hit more than 5,000 targets."

-
Identity weaponization

Techniques Found(7)

Specific propaganda techniques identified using the SemEval-2023 academic taxonomy of 23 techniques across 6 categories.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Iran’s attacks on oil infrastructure and pledges to choke off a vital waterway left markets on edge Tuesday as the United States promised blistering new strikes."

The term 'blistering new strikes' is emotionally charged and implies an aggressive, severe, and potentially painful response, rather than a neutral description of military action.

Exaggeration/MinimisationManipulative Wording
"The war entered its 11th day with no end in sight as its effects rippled across the Middle East and beyond."

While the conflict is significant, claiming its effects 'rippled across the Middle East and beyond' without specific examples in the opening sentence could be seen as exaggerating the immediate, widespread impact in a general sense, framing it as a larger global crisis from the outset.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Both sides sharpened their rhetoric as they dug in, with U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth again promising the most intense strikes yet, while Iran’s leaders ruled out talks and threatened U.S. President Donald Trump."

The phrase 'sharpened their rhetoric as they dug in' and 'most intense strikes yet' carries a dramatic, confrontational tone.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Death toll rises in the Gulf"

The phrase 'Death toll rises' is an emotionally charged and impactful headline, designed to evoke immediate concern and emphasize the tragedy, rather than neutrally stating that more casualties have occurred.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Iranian attacks on the wealthy Gulf country — home to the business and travel hub of Dubai — have killed six people and wounded 122 others since the surprise bombardment of Iran by the U.S. and Israel began on Feb. 28."

The phrase 'surprise bombardment of Iran' is loaded language. While the US and Israeli strikes were an act of war, characterizing them as 'surprise bombardment' implies an unprovoked and unexpected act, which can frame the subsequent Iranian actions as reactive or retaliatory rather than aggressive.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Iranian attacks on oil aimed at pressing the US"

The word 'aimed' used in the context of 'aimed at pressing the US' is a loaded term suggesting deliberate malicious intent to exploit vulnerability ('pain') for political leverage, rather than simply stating the objective or consequence.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Iran has repeatedly targeted energy infrastructure with attacks that appear aimed at generating enough global economic pain to pressure the U.S. and Israel to end their strikes."

The phrase 'generating enough global economic pain' is loaded, as it portrays Iran's actions as intentionally inflicting widespread suffering rather than simply disrupting supply chains or economic activities for strategic leverage.

Share this analysis