Steven Seagal and a ‘phantom’ Trump delegation: Putin showcases his soft power in St. Petersburg

english.elpais.com·Javier G. Cuesta
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Noticeable — persuasion techniques worth noting

This article describes how, despite international isolation after invading Ukraine, Russia is still building political and economic ties with far-right groups like Germany’s AfD, using promises of restored gas supplies and diplomatic overtures to gain influence. It shows Russian officials and AfD members meeting behind the scenes, presenting these connections as signs of ongoing global reach, while downplaying the AfD’s fringe status and controversial reputation in Germany.

FATE Analysis

Four dimensions of psychological manipulation: how content captures Focus, exploits Authority, triggers Tribal identity, and engineers Emotion.

Focus4/10Authority3/10Tribe5/10Emotion5/10
FFocus
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AAuthority
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TTribe
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EEmotion
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Focus signals

noveltry spike
"The star of the opening day was ultranationalist philosopher Alexander Dugin, who sketched out three scenarios: the positive one — from the Kremlin’s perspective — envisioned the occupation of Ukraine and the collapse of the European Union before 2036; the negative one, a loss of influence in former Soviet territories; the inertial one, a nuclear war if the battle against Kyiv remains bogged down."

The article highlights Dugin’s apocalyptic scenarios as a central moment of the event, framing them as attention-grabbing and ideologically extreme. While Dugin is a known figure, presenting his visions as the ‘star’ performance introduces a novelty spike that underscores the radical shift in Russia’s public-facing elite discourse, drawing reader attention to the increasing dominance of fringe nationalist ideology at state-sponsored forums.

unprecedented framing
"Just a few miles from the forum venue, at the headquarters of the Kremlin‑controlled gas giant Gazprom, a delegation from the far‑right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party was demonstrating its loyalty to Moscow on Wednesday."

The proximity of the AfD-Gazprom meeting to the official forum is framed as politically symbolic and unusual. The phrase ‘demonstrating its loyalty to Moscow’ carries normative weight, suggesting an unprecedented level of alignment between a Western political party and the Russian regime, thus capturing attention through the implication of geopolitical transgression.

Authority signals

institutional authority
"The central bank head, who had criticized the overheating of the economy due to huge military spending, was due to debate with Finance Minister Anton Siluanov."

The article references the planned debate between top economic officials—Nabiullina and Siluanov—as a way to ground the economic analysis in authoritative institutional roles. However, this is standard reporting on high-level policy actors and does not invoke authority to shut down debate or substitute for evidence, so the manipulation level is low.

celebrity endorsement
"Cook’s presence gave the Kremlin an opportunity to try to revive its outreach to Washington and to call for the lifting of the ban on its artists."

The article notes the symbolic value of Rodney Mims Cook Jr.’s participation, not because of any real policy authority but due to his nominal connection to the Trump administration. The Kremlin leverages his presence as a proxy for U.S. legitimacy, though the article itself critically frames this as hollow. The author does not endorse the authority claim but reports on its strategic use, limiting manipulation scoring.

Tribe signals

us vs them
"Russia has an air defense system, we need to improve it, strengthen it,” said Putin, adding that Ukraine does not have these systems."

This direct quote from Putin constructs a binary: Russia as prepared and capable, Ukraine as defenseless. While the statement is attributed to Putin and not authored by the journalist, the article includes it without immediate contextual counterbalance. The tribal dichotomy is amplified by juxtaposing it with Putin’s threat to strike Kyiv, contributing to a narrative of Russian superiority versus Ukrainian vulnerability. The framing risks reinforcing an in-group/out-group dynamic, though it is primarily sourced from a public statement.

identity weaponization
"The alignment is complete."

This standalone sentence follows the description of the AfD delegation’s meeting with Gazprom and Kirill Dmitriev. It converts political alignment into a tribal marker — implying that AfD’s actions signify ideological defection from the Western democratic bloc to a pro-Kremlin axis. The phrase is editorialized, turning political diplomacy into a symbolic act of identity loyalty, thus weaponizing the AfD’s actions as a betrayal of a broader European political identity.

Emotion signals

fear engineering
"Putin also hinted that he is considering using his ballistic missiles against Ukraine ‘even in urban areas,’ and threatened to intensify strikes on Kyiv."

The article highlights Putin’s explicit threat to target urban centers, a message inherently designed to provoke fear. While the statement is directly quoted and factually reportable, the selection and placement of this quote near the beginning of the article amplify its emotional impact. The phrasing ‘even in urban areas’ underscores the gravity and civilian targeting implications, contributing to an emotional spike. However, given the real and documented escalation risks in the conflict, the emotional intensity is proportionate to the threat, preventing a higher score.

urgency
"The forum opened on Wednesday with a huge column of smoke on the horizon, the result of a massive Ukrainian attack on the region."

Opening the scene with ‘a huge column of smoke’ creates a visceral, immediate image that conveys danger and instability. This visual hook establishes a tone of crisis and real-time threat, generating narrative urgency. However, it is tied to a factual military event and not exaggerated beyond known reporting, so while it emotionally primes the reader, it remains within journalistic bounds.

Narrative Analysis (PCP)

How the article reshapes thinking: Perception (what beliefs are targeted), Context (what information is shifted or omitted), and Permission (what behavior is being encouraged).

What it wants you to believe

The article aims to produce the belief that Russia remains a geopolitically influential power despite international isolation, maintaining influence through covert alignment with far-right political forces and symbolic cultural diplomacy. It constructs a narrative of resilience and strategic continuity, suggesting that behind closed doors, Russia sustains economic and political networks that challenge the idea of effective Western sanctions or diplomatic exclusion.

Context being shifted

The article shifts context from measuring influence by formal summit participation to measuring it through clandestine political and economic contacts. It normalizes interactions with controversial political figures (AfD, Seagal, Dugin) by presenting them as meaningful indicators of ongoing geopolitical relevance, thereby altering what counts as legitimate influence.

What it omits

The article omits that the AfD is a fringe party in Germany, currently under surveillance for extremist ties in several German states, and does not represent German national consensus. Presenting it as 'Germany’s most popular party' without clarifying its actual electoral standing or controversial ideology materially distorts the significance of its Russia ties.

Desired behavior

The reader is nudged toward accepting the normalization of far-right political engagement with authoritarian regimes, and to view behind-the-scenes diplomacy with Russia as pragmatic or inevitable, even in the absence of official Western endorsement.

SMRP Pattern

Four manipulation maintenance tactics: Socializing the idea as normal, Minimizing concerns, Rationalizing with logic, and Projecting blame.

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Socializing

"The AfD delegation's meeting with Gazprom and Kirill Dmitriev is presented matter-of-factly, normalizing political outreach from a European far-right party to a state-controlled Russian energy entity during an active war."

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Minimizing
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Rationalizing

"Frohnmaier’s statement: 'Our task is to uncompromisingly place German national interests at the center' frames alignment with Russia as a patriotic, rational policy choice rather than ideological sympathy."

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Projecting

"Kirill Dmitriev blaming Joe Biden for strained U.S.-Russia relations while ignoring Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 'his predecessor, Joe Biden, left relations “in a very difficult place”' — deflects responsibility for diplomatic breakdown."

Red Flags

High-severity indicators: silencing dissent, coordinated messaging, or weaponizing identity to shut down debate.

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Silencing indicator
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Controlled release (spokesperson test)

"Svetlana Chupsheva: 'We ban books and films [from other countries]. It is a catastrophe...' — speaks in generic, emotionally resonant language about cultural isolation without acknowledging the Kremlin’s own censorship regime, sounding like a scripted appeal to Western cultural guilt."

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Identity weaponization

"Frohnmaier’s framing: 'All options must be put back on the table [...] Our task is to uncompromisingly place German national interests at the center' — turns support for Russian gas resumption into a marker of authentic German patriotism."

Techniques Found(6)

Specific propaganda techniques identified using the SemEval-2023 academic taxonomy of 23 techniques across 6 categories.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"philosopher of Russian ultranationalism"

The phrase 'philosopher of Russian ultranationalism' uses emotionally charged labeling to frame Alexander Dugin in a negative light, associating him with extreme nationalism without neutral descriptive alternatives. This pre-frames his views as radical or extremist, influencing reader perception through connotation rather than objective characterization.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"empty promise"

The term 'empty promise' is a judgment-laden phrase used to dismiss Kirill Dmitriev’s announcement about the Alaska-Chukotka tunnel. It conveys skepticism and implies bad faith without providing evidence of intent, thereby shaping the reader’s interpretation of the claim as insincere or manipulative.

Appeal to ValuesJustification
"Our task is to uncompromisingly place German national interests at the center"

This statement by Markus Frohnmaier frames the resumption of Russian gas supplies as a matter of patriotic duty, invoking national interest—a shared political value—to justify alignment with Russia. It positions the policy as inherently correct by tying it to loyalty to Germany, regardless of external consequences or context.

Flag WavingJustification
"We ban books and films [from other countries]. It is a catastrophe because future generations will not understand one another"

Svetlana Chupsheva appeals to collective cultural identity and national belonging by lamenting the breakdown of cultural exchange, implicitly framing it as a tragedy for 'our children' and shared understanding. The emotional appeal to intergenerational cultural continuity serves to evoke national pride and sorrow, positioning cultural isolation as a moral crisis—while omitting the Kremlin’s own role in censorship.

Exaggeration/MinimisationManipulative Wording
"The alignment is complete"

This phrase presents a sweeping, definitive conclusion about the relationship between AfD and Russian leadership based on a single meeting and social media post. It exaggerates the significance and depth of the political alignment, implying a level of coordination or unity that the reported events alone do not substantiate, thus oversimplifying a complex geopolitical dynamic.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 changed everything"

While factually accurate, the phrase 'changed everything' is a sweeping generalization with dramatic emphasis that amplifies the event’s impact beyond specific domains (e.g., diplomacy, economy) into an all-encompassing societal shift. This hyperbolic framing serves to emotionally weight the opening of the article, influencing readers’ perception of the forum’s decline as a historic rupture.

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