Nottingham killer sought arrest at MI5 HQ before 2023 attack, inquiry told

theguardian.com·Raphael Boyd
View original article
0out of 100
Noticeable — persuasion techniques worth noting

This article uses strong emotional language and highlights official statements to suggest that authorities like MI5 and the Nottinghamshire police missed crucial signs about Valdo Calocane's mental state, implying their oversight contributed to tragic outcomes. It strongly encourages readers to question the effectiveness of these intelligence and policing systems, particularly concerning mental health-related violence, by presenting facts in a way that suggests negligence without providing necessary context around intervention thresholds.

FATE Analysis

Four dimensions of psychological manipulation: how content captures Focus, exploits Authority, triggers Tribal identity, and engineers Emotion.

Focus4/10Authority5/10Tribe2/10Emotion6/10
FFocus
0/10
AAuthority
0/10
TTribe
0/10
EEmotion
0/10

Focus signals

novelty spike
"A man who killed three people during a 2023 knife attack in Nottingham had attempted to hand himself into MI5 for arrest two years earlier, an inquiry has heard."

The opening sentence presents a novel and unexpected piece of information related to a high-profile case, immediately grabbing attention with an intriguing twist on the known narrative.

attention capture
"He admitted to manslaughter on the basis of diminished responsibility and was sentenced to indefinite detention at a high-security hospital."

This details the shocking outcome of the case, which, combined with the preceding information, maintains the reader's attention by hinting at systemic failures or missed opportunities.

Authority signals

institutional authority
"The inquiry, which is being held in London, heard on Tuesday that, in May 2021, Calocane had attempted to hand himself in to MI5 at its headquarters at Thames House in central London."

The article repeatedly refers to 'the inquiry,' lending a sense of official gravitas and credibility to the information being presented. This frames the details as stemming from a legitimate, established investigation.

expert appeal
"PC Graham Foster, who confronted Calocane outside after he had rung the building’s intercom, told the inquiry Calocane had informed a member of security that he wanted to be arrested and speak to the police."

The testimony of a police constable directly involved in the initial encounter provides an authoritative, firsthand account, making the claims more persuasive due to the official role of the speaker.

expert appeal
"Supt Lorraine Busby-McVey of the Metropolitan police told the inquiry that Calocane was “looked at” by the Fixated Threat Assessment Centre (FATC), a unit that examines threats from fixated individuals, but he did not meet their threshold to be assessed further."

A Superintendent from the Metropolitan Police, particularly one involved with a specialized unit like FATC, carries significant institutional authority. Her statements add weight and an 'official' perspective to the sequence of events and decisions made.

Tribe signals

us vs them
"Busby-McVey said that an intelligence report from the FTAC regarding Calocane’s visit to Thames House was passed to Nottinghamshire police the next day, 1 June, but that the force did not then carry out their own assessment. Busby-McVey said that was something she “would have quite liked” to have happened."

This quote subtly creates a division, highlighting a perceived failing of the Nottinghamshire police in contrast to the Metropolitan Police's perspective ('would have quite liked' implies a standard that wasn't met). This can lead to an 'us vs. them' dynamic between different police forces or between the public and the local police.

Emotion signals

outrage manufacturing
"A man who killed three people during a 2023 knife attack in Nottingham had attempted to hand himself into MI5 for arrest two years earlier, an inquiry has heard."

This opening statement, by juxtaposing the tragic killings with the prior attempt to surrender, immediately evokes a sense of outrage or incredulity that such a preventative opportunity was missed.

outrage manufacturing
"When asked why he did not question Calocane on why he wanted to be arrested, Foster told the inquiry he had aimed to “build a rapport” as he thought that was the best way to see if he was “offering any other information”. He described Calocane as “calm, compliant and coherent”."

The 'rapport-building' explanation, given the subsequent tragic events, is likely to generate public outrage or frustration that a seemingly benign approach was taken when the individual later committed serious crimes.

outrage manufacturing
"Calocane’s former flatmate, named only as Sebastian, who said reports he made to Nottinghamshire police that Calocane had accosted him at their flat were ignored."

The claim that a victim's reports of aggressive behavior were 'ignored' is designed to ignite outrage and a sense of institutional neglect or failure, especially in light of the subsequent attack.

fear engineering
"Sebastian said that he began to lock his door after the incident, saying: “I know he is aggressive and that he could harm me again out of nowhere.”"

This quote from the flatmate directly conveys fear and the threat of harm, which can resonate with readers and heighten their emotional response to the perceived danger the perpetrator posed and the subsequent police inaction.

Narrative Analysis (PCP)

How the article reshapes thinking: Perception (what beliefs are targeted), Context (what information is shifted or omitted), and Permission (what behavior is being encouraged).

What it wants you to believe

The article aims to instill a belief that authorities, specifically MI5 and Nottinghamshire police, failed to adequately assess and act upon clear warning signs regarding Valdo Calocane's mental state and potential for violence, thereby contributing to the fatal outcomes. It targets the reader's belief in the competence and responsiveness of these agencies.

Context being shifted

The article shifts the context from an individual's criminal act to a failure of intelligence sharing and threat assessment systems. By highlighting Calocane's attempt to hand himself over to MI5 and his flatmate's ignored reports, it frames the subsequent murders as potentially preventable, thereby elevating the importance of inter-agency communication and mental health evaluation in policing.

What it omits

The article omits detailed context regarding the legal and procedural thresholds for formal assessment by units like FATC or for intervention by police in cases of reported erratic behavior that doesn't immediately meet criteria for arrest or detention. Specifically, what constitutes a 'threshold' for further assessment by FATC or the specific legal avenues available to police when receiving reports like the flatmate's, particularly if there was no immediate, clear legal offense committed in the presence of police or sufficient evidence for immediate detention under mental health acts, is not explained. Its absence makes the lack of assessment or action appear more negligent.

Desired behavior

The reader is nudged towards a stance of skepticism and critical inquiry regarding the effectiveness of intelligence and policing systems in preventing acts of violence, particularly when mental health concerns are present. It implicitly grants permission to demand greater accountability from these institutions and to question official explanations when incidents occur.

SMRP Pattern

Four manipulation maintenance tactics: Socializing the idea as normal, Minimizing concerns, Rationalizing with logic, and Projecting blame.

-
Socializing
-
Minimizing
-
Rationalizing
!
Projecting

"Busby-McVey said that an intelligence report from the FTAC regarding Calocane’s visit to Thames House was passed to Nottinghamshire police the next day, 1 June, but that the force did not then carry out their own assessment."

Red Flags

High-severity indicators: silencing dissent, coordinated messaging, or weaponizing identity to shut down debate.

-
Silencing indicator
-
Controlled release (spokesperson test)
-
Identity weaponization

Techniques Found(4)

Specific propaganda techniques identified using the SemEval-2023 academic taxonomy of 23 techniques across 6 categories.

Obfuscation/VaguenessManipulative Wording
"An officer told him that they would file a report, which would be flagged to an agency, but they did not specify which."

The phrase 'flagged to an agency, but they did not specify which' uses vague language to describe a bureaucratic process, making it unclear who was ultimately responsible or where the information went. This can create confusion about accountability.

Exaggeration/MinimisationManipulative Wording
"Busby-McVey said that was something she “would have quite liked” to have happened."

The phrase 'would have quite liked' minimizes the severity of the failure to assess Calocane. The consequence was tragic, and this wording downplays the gravity of the missed opportunity.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"Valdo Calocane, 34, fatally stabbed Grace O’Malley-Kumar and Barnaby Webber, both 19, and Ian Coates, 65, during a stabbing spree in the city on 13 June 2023."

The term 'stabbing spree' is emotionally charged and designed to evoke strong negative feelings, highlighting the violent and uncontrolled nature of the attacks. This pre-frames the event and the perpetrator negatively.

Loaded LanguageManipulative Wording
"He admitted to manslaughter on the basis of diminished responsibility and was sentenced to indefinite detention at a high-security hospital."

The phrase 'indefinite detention at a high-security hospital' uses terminology that can evoke images of strict confinement and mental instability, which, while factually correct, is chosen for its emotional impact and to emphasize the severity of the outcome and Calocane's condition.

Share this analysis